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前线观察：他们眼睛中的CES变化_我的网站

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一 | 也许CES的觉醒不是坏事。美国时间11日下午，苹果的巨型海报被移除，各种产品开始包装，大型卡车在会场外穿梭。持续了四天的CES终于结束了——这一幕已经持续了四五十年。 "American defense and intelligence contractors like L3Harris want to make money, and there is a market for spyware, domestically and globally," explains retired US Air Force Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski, a former analyst for the US Department of Defense. "With the NSO Group sanctioned by the USG for surveillance abuse against Americans and others, buying the Israeli company, its codes, software and tools, and hiring its people directly is a way to get that access (and in theory removing it from the sanction list by incorporating it under a different US company entity).",The controversial negotiations between NSO and L3Harris were jointly reported by the Guardian, the Washington Post and Haaretz on June 14. At the time, The Guardian quoted a senior White House official as saying: "Such a transaction, if it were to take place, raises serious counterintelligence and security concerns for the US government.",The US Commerce Department blacklisted Israeli firm NSO Group in November 2021 for providing spyware called Pegasus to foreign governments that "used these tools to maliciously target" journalists, embassy workers and activists. According to the Biden administration, NSO acted "contrary to the national security or foreign policy interests of the United States.",Israeli Police Chief Orders Creation of Commission to Investigate Pegasus Spyware Scandal7 February, 14:16 GMT,"Pegasus is a 'zero-click' hacking tool that can remotely extract everything from a target’s mobile phone, including messages, contacts, photos and videos without the user having to click on a phishing link to give it remote access," wrote The New York Times, adding that the Israeli wonder-tool could also turn the target's mobile phone "into a tracking and recording device.",Nonetheless, L3Harris kicked off covert talks with NSO, claiming that US intelligence officials quietly supported its plans to purchase the firm's core spyware technology as well as a possible transfer of NSO personnel to the American defense contractor. What’s more, NSO's technology has long been "of intense interest" to the FBI and the CIA, according to NYT.,Thus, in March 2022, FBI Director Christopher Wray testified to Congress that the agency had bought NSO's spyware Pegasus, claiming that the agency acquired the tool for evaluation but did not use it.,"The FBI has not and did not use the NSO products operationally in any investigation," Wray told the lawmakers. "I can confirm that we bought a limited license for testing and investigation. We routinely evaluate technologies that are out there: what are the security concerns raised by those products?",Top Polish Politician Admits Country Bought Israeli Pegasus Spyware7 January, 11:30 GMT,The L3Harris-NSO negotiations continued in secret until June 2022, when the US and Israeli mainstream press leaked information about the possible sale, prompting a storm of criticism from the White House. According to The Guardian, Washington denied that the US intelligence community had ever been "supportive" of the deal. However, this possibility cannot be ruled out, according to Kwiatkowski.,"The outcry of US citizenry and media about illegal and harmful surveillance by the NSO group drove the Biden sanctions; Intel community bureaucrats and their contractors have very different interests, they want to use the most capable (and cost effective) software surveillance and tracking tools out there," she explains.,Kwiatkowski has no doubts that if NSO hacking technology were acquired, it would have been used on American citizens. Furthermore, she does not rule out that "it is already being used, much as before sanctions, and the purchase is in part designed to ensure its use can continue and be expanded.",According to Kwiatkowski, "if left only to lawyers and politicians, this purchase in some form… would proceed and happen, and ultimately serve as a relief from existing sanctions for several aspects of NSO Group's products and services.",Apparently, the "hypocritical and self-serving" deal was slowed down and stopped due to the fact that it was widely publicized, according to the former Pentagon analyst.,Report: US Intel Operatives Backed Plans to Buy Infamous NSO Group Before Negotiations Were Axed11 July, 01:26 GMT,Meanwhile, NSO Group is said to be involved in a broad campaign in the United States to get off Washington's blacklist, according to ProPublica nonprofit newsroom and Shomrim, an Israel-based nonpartisan news organization.,"NSO has invested hundreds of thousands of dollars in the past year in payments to lobbyists, public relations companies and law firms in the US, in the hope of reversing the Biden administration’s November decision, according to public records filed under the Foreign Agent Registration Act and conversations with people familiar with the effort," ProPublica and Shomrim reported on 12 July.,Moreover, NSO is currently trying to get the matter raised during a meeting between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid, according to the news organizations.,"So far, the lobbying campaign has generated little response," the report said. "NSO has not been told what it needs to do to remove itself from the list, according to the people familiar with the campaign."。”一位中国的自媒体人士哀叹道：“过去，一台硬件终端可以发出耀眼的光芒。”消费电子展不应该是所谓的消费电子展，而是消费生态展。一切都在悄然改变。新浪科技采访了CES的制造商、媒体人士和观察员，以了解这场罕见的全球技术展览会在他们眼中的变化。创新先烈“概括为四个词：有限创新”。媒体人冯辉有点失望。他在各种科技展览上花了十多年时间。他活跃于美国CES、西班牙MWC、德国IFA和德国CEBIT。大约两个月前，33岁的Cebit宣布停职。他认为，大型展览的“萎缩”与科技展览的现状相吻合：创新不足，特别是电器行业的“突破点”很少，“很多企业都在谈论创新，其实就是“微观创新”。人工智能、大数据和自动驾驶这几个术语已经使用了很多年，而今年仍然是相同的。另一个现象是，创新过于集中在企业的头上，多年来没有出现新的挑战者。同时，龙头企业将根据战略部署单独组织展会，不完全集中于展会的发布，也大大降低了展会的“权重”。另一位行业观察家李军对角色的变化给出了不同的看法。

二 | ”科技创新要有足够的时间，也要受到外部因素的影响。”她认为，目前的几项主要技术都处于“爬升阶段”，还没有达到转折点，我们会觉得创新不足，但这是科技发展的必由之路。与此同时，消费电子产品的身份也在发生着变化：早期展示的主要商品是冰箱、电视和其他家用电器，而非消费电子产品的展品将永远不会出现。在过去的两年里，CES安排了更多的主题，例如汽车行业。

三 | 除了奔驰、奥迪等传统汽车品牌外，百度、图森、地平线等相关生态也纷纷涌入展台。

四 | ”消费电子展不应该是所谓的消费电子展，而是消费生态展”。在外国媒体看来，中国制造商的热情今年似乎在消费电子展上“衰退”。据《南华早报》报道，此前中国制造商数量达到了创纪录的1551家，与今年在中国注册的1211家公司相比，下降了20%，在美国的参展商不足1751家。中国企业是否不关注消费电子产品？答案显然是否定的。根据一些行业观察家的说法，参展商数量的减少并不能反映展览的重要性。首先，中国经济的低迷导致了风险投资环境的收紧，一些小企业无法支付高额的展览费用。其次，它不仅是一个经济问题，也是对企业未来生态创新能力的挑战。小企业受生态布局的限制，能力相对不足。事实上，中国的许多大、小企业仍然可以在消费电子展上看到。

五 | 其中一个最直观的现象就是阿里巴巴、京东和美国军团已经成为主要的制造商。一位京东CES负责人告诉新浪科技，这是京东第一次参加展会，但不是第一次来到CES。”以前是买家，这次是参展商。

六 | 这是一个角色的转变。”中国大型企业的进军在很大程度上在整个产业链中起着创新的作用。他们拥有智能终端服务，不仅限于单一的硬件，而且体现了线上线下融合的生态。在许多外国巨头的演讲中，他们也提到了与中国企业的战略合作。”他们的参与比传统企业有更大的杠杆作用，这将放大整个生态系统的价值，迫使整个价值链重建，”冯辉说。与此同时，中国的小企业也在外国制造商面前“展示实力”。例如，在一个贴着“中医”海报的展台上，中国的“医生”用人工智能来治疗外国人。泰仪科技告诉新浪，中医是广博而深刻的，诊断强调“看、听、问、切”四个步骤。“切削”的关键步骤是“切削脉冲”。采用中药脉冲采集技术，结合自行研制的传感设备，采集数字脉冲信息。首席运营官杨本浩表示，此外，还应建立一个大型数据诊断和治疗平台。帮助医生更准确、更有效地诊断和治疗中药，是中国自主创新。如何面对未来？”自2010年以来，我一直负责联想CES项目的活动，见证了CES的发展步伐，”联想全球战略活动和合作伙伴关系高级总监Michael Cunningham说，由于全球经济衰退，CES曾从15万下降到10万。现在情况大不一样了。”它几乎占据了拉斯维加斯所有的资源。从最初的LVCC和一些周边酒店到金沙会展中心和威尼斯酒店的展览，整个城市都在为活动服务。

七 | 我认为CES无疑已经变得更加国际化了，”迈克尔说。回顾第一届CES，展品主要是电器，现在有智能车、ARVR、人工智能产品等。”在我看来，最大的变化仍然是智能城市和智能汽车，无人驾驶汽车是如何发展的，并向你展示了今天所有的设备是如何相互连接和互操作的。虽然CES的目标是普通消费者的名义，但我们展示的是整个公司的商业生态系统，无论是PC、平板电脑、手机、ARVR、物联网等，总之，CES不再只是一个面向参展商的消费电子展。然而，CES也有其缺点。”它的规模扩张得太快了，所以人们觉得场馆之间没有很好的联系，”迈克尔说。在互联时代，每家公司都有一个或两个以上的领域。在CES展规模升级后，对各类别进行了划分，给参展商和观众带来了一定的麻烦。参展商需要建造和展示多个场馆，观众可以在不同的场馆进行交流。压力也在增加，举办和观看展览的成本也在增加。CES也有积极的一面。高管可以与许多合作伙伴、供应商和媒体会面和讨论，这大大提高了效率。”因此，展览规模的迅速扩大既有利弊，“也许，随着文章的开始，对CES的觉醒并不是一件坏事。